Indian Stock Market: Volatility Exploding...Sell it
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
The one thing that happens after an explosion in volatility is a crash in volatility...usually that crash is preceded by an event...the event which gave rise to the implied volatility.
I have sold calls on the Nifty at this incredible volatility level..sold 2800 Nifty calls at Rs. 112..volatility of 89%...
Because I am long at an average of Nifty 2766, these are covered calls for my long position. The pay-off for my overall position looks as follows:
I have sold calls on the Nifty at this incredible volatility level..sold 2800 Nifty calls at Rs. 112..volatility of 89%...
Because I am long at an average of Nifty 2766, these are covered calls for my long position. The pay-off for my overall position looks as follows:
Nifty Nifty Calls NetExploding volatility is a harbinger...the redemption deadline of November 15 for hedge fund investors has passed...significant redemptions are expected...is this volatility explosion an expression of these notices?
2400 -366 +112 -254
2500 -266 +112 -154
2600 -166 +112 - 54
2700 - 66 +112 + 46
2800 + 34 +112 +146
2900 +134 + 12 +146
3000 +234 - 88 +146
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